|
Goodbye Wall Street
April 24, 2002
It has been said that stock is only worth what someone will pay
for it. Stock value is based solely on one thing: perception. Perception,
in turn, is somewhat based on a company's financial profile, but
is entirely based on the subjective assessment of buyers and sellers.
This perception is what, in fact, determines not only the current
price for a stock but also whether the market exists in the first
place. That is to say that one the cornerstones of our economy would
simply evaporate if people decided to quit buying stock.
The last person holding the hot potato loses. But it's even worse
than that. If anyone loses the game in that manner, the whole deck
of cards comes tumbling down. So when financial authorities tell
you that you should invest in the stock market, what they are really
saying is that you must invest in the market. You must do
it, because the economy depends on it.
Supply and demand for goods and services is one thing. But somewhere
along the line, the stock market just quit making sense. If I own
a share of Disney, I can't get in free. Why? Because I don't really
own anything. I have nothing but teeny vote and maybe equally small
dividend. If I I'm allowed to cast 100 out of 500,000,000 votes
and the vast majority of those other shares are owned by a few people,
there really isn't any reason for me to bother is there. When a
company sells thirty percent of their stock, but retains the rest,
they are only selling smoke and mirrors and getting hard cash in
return.
That's where the system fails. Mr. Entrepreneur may have a public
offering to raise money for a new widget factory, but the sanity
stops there. He gets cash, and that's bankable. But the buyers get
little more than paper and the opportunity to sell their "shares"
in the company to someone else, on and on into oblivion. The system
works only because people believe that it works. If that belief
changes, our whole economy will collapse and the world with it.
For better or worse, however, there will probably always be someone
ready to buy stock with the expectation of financial gain. But I
have disturbing news, Wall Street. I don't believe in the system
and others may follow. A dividend of pennies on the dollar, an infinitesimal
vote in company business, and the anticipation of capital gain as
a function of a subjective popular perception just isn't convincing
anymore. If you want my money, you're going to have to do better
than that.
Besides, I can't buy into a system that destroys lives and everything
else in its path to perpetually bolster this subjective perception
of value. Company XZY's profits drop from 100 million to 70 million
dollars, the stock price collapses and the layoffs begin. Didn't
they still make 70 million dollars? WTF? It doesn't stop
there. Our environment suffers assault after assault simply to keep
costs as low as possible and stock prices stable. When is enough,
enough already? Our abstractions are tools. But people are real.
The environment is real.
Wall Street, I can make my money without you. I earn a salary in
exchange for real work. If I start a successful business, I can
make even more. Perhaps I'll publish a book and that will bring
in money as well. I can buy bonds with my bags of cash and earn
enough to keep up with inflation. And when I finally have so much
wealth that I can't stand it anymore, I'm going to buy a submersible
yacht -- I've always wanted one of those. Then one year, I'm
going to sail into the middle of a Fourth of July celebration with
my other "Not Wall Street" friends and pretend that we're sinking,
once the fireworks start.
"Aaagh!"
Heh. It'll be a hoot.
|